Sports betting is always associated with high risks, because none of the players is completely immune from defeat. If you approach this matter competently, you can significantly minimize risks and make a profit thanks to betting.
Overlapping all outcomes
Bookmakers offer different quotes for the same outcomes. This can be turned in your favor, despite the fact that the difference in odds is not so significant.
In order to be guaranteed to stay in the black, you need to cover all the outcomes of the fight, and then it doesn't matter how it ends - we will still make a profit.
The strategy is perfect to games where two outcomes are possible: the victory of one of the athletes. Football should be discarded immediately, because there are draws in it. Concentrate on tennis or even basketball. Let's take an example tennis match:
Let's say that 1xBet set a coefficient of 1.5 for the victory of the first player, and the winning of the second player in Fonbet is estimated at a coefficient of 5.0. Let's take 1000 conventional units for the bet. We bet on P1 - 750 USD, and on P2 - 250 USD.
If the first player wins, we get: 750*1.5=1125 USD. If the second player wins, the payout will be: 250*5=1250 USD. Net profit from one transaction is 125 or 250 USD. Not bad, because there are practically no risks. And if you operate with more impressive amounts, it is quite possible to make money on this, especially since this approach does not contradict the rules of bookmakers.
Quarter betting in basketball
The strategy is based on statistical data. About 90% basketball games, the outsider wins at least one quarter. You can play it by doing the following.
In Live lines, we open a game that has just started (or is about to start). We bet on the victory of the underdog in the first quarter. If the deal turns out to be unsuccessful, we make an identical bet in the next quarter, but increase its size.
Set the amount yourself, but the main thing is that if you enter, you win back the lost funds on the first bet and make a profit. So we continue until we win, after which we close the event and look for another.
There are very few basketball meetings where each period would end with the victory of one of the teams. You can verify this yourself. Open any statistics service and see the results.
In the example of 10 matches, none ended with the victory of one of the teams in each quarter. Of course, there are unsuccessful matches, so it is recommended to analyze and filter out unsuitable ones, for example, where the difference in the class of opponents is very large. The strongest league in the world, the NBA, is best suited, and the Spanish championship is the worst option for such a system.
The strategy is easy to modify, betting already on the favorite. The same happens with bets on even/odd and total in a quarter, but this variation does not look so reliable anymore.
Dallas strategy
fresh strategy, developed by a guy under the pseudonym Dallas. It consists in betting on the individual total of teams in football, preferably in live, as this increases the number of successful bets.
We find matches with a clear favorite, where the difference in coefficients is significant, for example, 1.4 and 7.5, and more. The score in the game should be 0:0, it is best to open the event at the very beginning, when the quotes on the outsider's ITM look attractive.
We look at the statistics or even the broadcast - if the favorite does not allow the opponent to do anything, we bet that the outsider will not score in this meeting. Naturally, it will not be superfluous to play it safe and take a whole handicap, because one goal can fly by accident.
A lot depends on the coefficients here. It is stupid to make such a bet for 1.35, etc., as well as to collect several such outcomes in an accumulator.
If you do everything right and learn how to find suitable fights, the pass rate of 80% is guaranteed. Outsiders rarely score twice, and if you do more analysis, the system will be as effective as possible.
When I first implemented the strategy and customized it for myself, an unacceptable number of bets were made per day - more than 30. Surprisingly, I remained in the black, although it was only a few percent of the pot.
Negative days were extremely rare. Then there were fewer transactions, traffic increased, as did income. I understood what kind of games are needed for strategy. I can’t tell you everything, because you yourself have to go through this, but giving a few tips is no problem.
1. Eliminate women's championships and youth tournaments. Now I bet on these games because I feel like the right matches, but in the beginning, most of the losses happened on such events.4.5
This article will be reviewed best strategy to tennis. I will talk about the bid selection algorithm and why it will always bring us stable profit in contrast to the strategies of other authors.
It turned out that for long years games in bookmakers, I came across a lot of win-win tennis strategies, which, according to the authors, should have given a tangible plus. Some of them say: *Not a single losing day* *+100% to the bank every month* etc. But after playing with a few selected strategies, I realized that everything is sweet only in words. Therefore, I think that the best strategy for tennis, and indeed for any sport, is the one that you came up with yourself and it consistently brings profit over a distance, and not every day! This is one scheme that will work forever, and not just until the bookmakers see the hole and close it.
By the way, I managed to develop such a 100% working one 3 years ago.
Now, in order to master further material, you need to familiarize yourself with the basic algorithm for selecting rates at the link. (Without this, you will not understand the essence), and then we will return to tennis.
The strategy includes such sports as: football, basketball, handball, volleyball, hockey and tennis.
So if you analyze my strategy for individual sports, then we can say with confidence - this is undoubtedly the best strategy for tennis. Yes, it gives a tangible income in all sports, but tennis is out of competition.
Moreover, it makes sense to separately take only this sport and make money on it. This will attract the attention of the bookmaker to us less.
Therefore, now I will share my experience and tell you about some secrets why tennis is the most profitable and predictable sport if we take the pinnacle line as a basis for accuracy.
Here are the total earnings figures to date for all sports:
As you can see from the picture, tennis has brought us more income than all other sports combined. In advance, I want to reassure anyone who thinks that there is a large error due to insufficient sampling. Actually it is not. The mailing list was created relatively recently. Before that, I analyzed my real money bets and the % return on tennis bets was simply amazing. Therefore, I assure you that at a distance the picture of profits will change little. Income from tennis betting will be in the range of about + 15% of turnover.
I also clarify that I made all the bets in the Marathon, both for real money and by mailing.
By betting only on tennis, we will have a number of such advantages:
- high patency of forecasts (I think that pinnacle has the strongest line for tennis)
- a large number of bets every day.
- tennis tournaments are all year round which means that we will never be without bets
- inflated odds can hang for hours.
- we will not attract the attention of offices
Now I will write in detail each point.
It so happened that pinnacle quotes are the most accurate. They display the probability of winning tennis players with maximum accuracy. This includes wins by handicap and totals. Even a raw pinnacle opening line has superiority over the line of other bookmakers.
For only one individual tennis game, we will be able to put down at least 20 profitable bets. And this, you see, is a good number of bets.
If we say in general that all bets will actually be forked, then you should not be afraid of cutting the bill for placing such bets on tennis. If you read the betting rules for this sport, then in different offices these rules are different. If the player refuses, then one office makes a return of the bet, and the other can calculate after the fact. Therefore, as a rule, experienced arbers will never make such bets. Therefore, our bets will not fall into the arb stream and we have a good chance to stay in the game as long as possible and continue to bet only on tennis.
Summing up, after all the above arguments, I declare with confidence that today this is the best strategy for tennis! If someone has a different opinion, I'm ready to argue.
Many different game systems have been developed for tennis betting. A collection of 8 strategies is popular.
Double bet strategy
This is the most interesting system from the collection. Based on two bets on different markets of the same event. Usually bets are applied on the exact score 2:0 and over games in the match, although other options are also possible.
Conditions for selection of games:
- There is a favorite in the fight.
- Good coffees. The odds for the selected outcomes should be such that when you pass one of the bets, you, at least, remain “at your own”. The condition for surebets must be met:
sum 1/K1 + 1/K2 > 1
K1 and K2 - odds for 2:0 and TB of the base value of games in the match.
- The meeting is expected to fight. For a total over games, a situation is preferable when the opponents feel confident on their serve.
The distribution of the existing bank at two rates to equalize the profits is more conveniently done using an online calculator.
When you pass one of the bets, you get a small income. This happens when the favorite wins 2:0 and the total games are under or the outsider wins 2:1 and the total is over.
If two bets win, the profit becomes tangible. In fact, only the option of an easy victory for an outsider is losing, when the selected total of games does not break through.
Let's consider how the strategy works on the example of tennis matches. The choice was small, so the selection was not strict - only in terms of the balance of forces (without taking into account a strong serve).
Example. WTA tournament finals in Chinese Taipei
Singles:
Doubles:
Let's check the compliance of the coefficients with the conditions of the strategy and the calculation of the rates (with a bank of 100 rubles) using an online calculator.
The screenshot shows the size of bets and profit in percentage when passing at least one bet. The smaller the difference in the class, judging by the odds, the greater the expected profit.
Match results:
In the first case, the score was 2:0, in the second, the implicit favorite lost, losing both sets in a tie-break. I played a bet on TB games.
Example Summary. The considered examples brought us a small income. With careful selection of games, taking into account all the factors that affect the game, the chances of success increase.
Game break betting strategy
Zero handicap betting by games
Not all bookmakers offer such bets. To date, they have not been found in Marathon, they were present in Betcity.
At zero handicap a variant is possible when a tennis player loses in sets 1:2 (in matches up to 2 victories), but the bet will be held at the expense of more games won. For example, with a score of 1:2 (6:7, 6:2, 6:7).
Odds for a zero handicap are close to quotes for a clear win. It is difficult to predict the plot of the game, in which such a bet will be useful.
Negative Handicap
Betting on a negative handicap has a logical justification. There is a clear favorite in the match, the opponent has weak arguments on his serve. In this case, the bookmaker's odds for the victory of a stronger tennis player will be minimal. Players have the opportunity to get an acceptable odds by choosing a win bet with a negative handicap.
Example. In the final of the women's tournament in St. Petersburg, Petra Kvitova and Kristina Mladenovic met. The bookmaker determined the Czech tennis player as the favorite, setting the odds for her victory at 1.41. It was possible to bet on Kvitova's win with a handicap at much higher odds - 1.66 or 2.0.
The meeting ended with a more than confident victory of Petra Kvitova with a score of 2:0 (6:1, 6:2).
tennis uniform
Tennis is individual view sports, where it is necessary to take into account all the nuances relating to athletes. Tennis player readiness for the match includes the level physical form and psychological state.
“Physics” is the absence of injuries, the ability to withstand a long confrontation. Psychology is influenced by a variety of factors: victories or defeats in recent matches, personal problems, motivation for a particular tournament (prestige, the need to defend rating points).
There are situations when, after the most important victory in a career, an athlete falls into a psychological “pit” and cannot show his level. For example, the game of Caroline Wozniacki at the tournament in St. Petersburg immediately after winning the Australian Open 2018, where she lost in the 1/4 finals.
Long term rates
Long-term bets are based on the fact that the bookmaker, when placing quotes on the winner of a future tournament long before it starts, is based on current state affairs. By the time the competition starts, the odds may change, for example, if a tennis player has won a major tournament.
Experienced bettors, who are able to predict the improvement in the quality of the game of one of the favorites, can bet at a high coefficient, and in the final stage of the tournament, insuring themselves, make bets in the "counter-move".
Additional bets
The most common bets in tennis are outcome, total, handicap. There are less popular markets: the number of aces, unforced errors, the probability of a tie-break, and others. Bookmaker analysts rely on the performance of tennis players for certain period. However, the alignment for the upcoming match is important.
A deep knowledge of the basics of tennis, the playing styles of athletes, the current form, the study of statistics will help make betting on these markets a profitable business. You just need to be an experienced bettor and thoroughly understand tennis.
Strategies for express events with small odds
Supporters of the strategy believe that choosing matches with a clear favorite (odds to win 1.2-1.5) or markets for additional totals (handicap) and combining them into an accumulator, one can achieve success. The individual qualities of tennis players, as well as cases when one of the opponents refuses to continue the match, make tennis a rather unpredictable sport, so we do not recommend using express tactics.
conclusions
The considered strategies are unequal in their value for betting, some of them can be attributed more to tactics. Bets on handicap, including zero, can be partially used in the development of your own game models. Noteworthy are the "Double Bet" strategy and "catching" a break in the game.
The dynamics of the game, sharp jumps in odds and big number tournaments allow you to bet on tennis almost every day.
Bet on the favorite
Perhaps the most elementary and predictable strategy. The favorite is the player (or pair) whose odds are much lower and bookmakers, like most bettors, prefer him. Accordingly, by betting on the favorite, the probability of your winning is much higher, although it is not absolute. However, in the long run, by consistently betting on the favorite, your income will be positive. However, there is an important note. The coefficient on the favorite should be more than 1.4-1.5, otherwise we will simply not be interested, because with a coefficient of, say, 1.1, the game is not worth the candle. In addition to this, the opponents of this match should not be approximately equivalent, that is, the difference between the odds for the victory of each of them should be more than 0.5.Receiver bet
For this strategy, it is necessary to select matches in which athletes of approximately the same level act as rivals. That is, the difference between the initial odds for their victory should not exceed 0.5. This strategy is based on the well-known Martingale method, the meaning of which is to increase the bet by 2 times in case of a loss. However, in our case, we will double only after two losses in a row. Next, we do the following: we bet on winning the game on the player who receives the serve, because because of this, the odds for him are higher than the original odds, although the strengths of the players are still approximately equal. If you lose in the first game, we bet on the victory of the opposite player in the next game, since now he takes the serve, then most often the odds for his victory will already be from 2.5-3. In case of a repeated loss, we raise our bet by 2 times and again bet on the victory in the game of the player receiving the serve. And so on... With the correct observance of this strategy, the winnings will cover the lost bets and make a profit.Tie-breaks
Another variation of strategies for live tennis events, used in tie-breaks. For those who are not familiar with tennis rules, a tie-break is played when the game is tied (6-6). Next, we determine the favorite who, during the match, won the games 40-0 or 40-15, while the opponent had difficulty getting them, for example, 40-30. In the event of a tie-break, the odds for the favorite to win will be quite high, even though the probability of his victory far outweighs the probability of losing."Dogon" at 15:15
The catch-up strategy for live tennis betting is very popular with most players. It involves betting a progressive amount on the same live event until it happens. A progressive amount means you raise your bet if you lose. Using this strategy as an example, we will analyze a specific case, namely, a bet on the score 15:15 in one game. The fact is that the score 30:0 during all games of one set (6-7 games) is an extremely rare event. So, using the same Martingale mechanism and increasing your bet by 2 times with each loss, the probability of making a profit is quite high. And you have 6-7 attempts to win by betting on 15-15 during the whole set.Forks
The last strategy that I would like to consider is the “forks” strategy. For those who are not the first day in betting, "forks" are a familiar thing, although they treat them differently. For the rest, “forks” is a strategy of betting a certain amount on different outcomes of the same event in different bookmakers, provided that the odds differ in them. This strategy is widely used in other sports, but tennis is suitable for it. the best way. For example, in bookmaker A, the odds for the first player to win is 2.2. You notice that at bookmaker B, the odds for the second player are 2.5. Mathematically calculate the required amount so that by placing a bet on the first player in office A and on the second player in office B, you get more money spent, regardless of who wins. This is the only win-win strategy in betting, however, it is not so easy to find different odds in different bookmakers. At the same time, in many of them your account may be suspected of such activities and blocked.Conclusion
We have reviewed the main strategies for betting on tennis matches. The peculiarities of the rules of this sport, together with its dynamics, provide you with an excellent opportunity to earn money. However, it is always worth remembering that there is a considerable chance of losing money, because sports betting is gambling, which means that most strategies do not guarantee you 100% getting big and fast money.Can bring live tennis betting strategy stable income? This is the dream of many cappers who are just starting to bet, or have been betting for a long time. I have seen online great amount different ways games - some turned out to be too risky, others banal, others unpromising and unprofitable. Today I will tell you how to bet on tennis and at the same time be insured against big losses.
Live tennis betting strategy: to bet or not?
I want to go into this topic from a different angle. I am not a tennis fan so I don't bet on tennis. In addition, I practically do not delve into this sport. Everything that I write next was told to me by one very successful capper who makes deals for tennis matches.
To begin with, let's highlight the main advantages of tennis, which allow the handicapper to make a profit:
- A wide range of matches for every day
- Matches throughout the year
- It is enough to analyze the game of two tennis players
But, in my opinion, these are dubious pluses. Firstly, there is really a lot of tennis in live every day. However, this is a temptation every time for players who are undisciplined. They constantly get into some wilds and drain the bank. Another thing is when a capper watches the game of 1-2 tennis players, which allows him to easily determine in what form they are suitable for a particular match.
Many different tennis tournaments also sometimes turn out to be a failure for players. I have nothing against Tournaments Grand Slam, however little-known Challenger tournaments or below ITF tournaments are just full of strange matches.
What can I say, if the legendary Novak Djokovic himself admitted in an interview that he was offered to play a match according to the scenario at the very beginning of his career. The Serb was offered 10 thousand dollars - a great temptation for little-known and novice tennis players. There is no particular need to strain where the prize money is meager, so many players cut down the bubble at the expense of the office. How it all happens, I don't know. But, as a rule, a third party is also involved in this - some kind of "Singapore syndicate". As a result, we have what to organize fixed match in tennis it's easy.
But when there is a fair fight, full of emotions, tennis becomes a wonderful sport:
Read also Football draw betting strategy: what is important to consider when choosing matches?
Yes, well-known tennis players are not fond of this at more or less respectable tournaments. It is quite easy to suspect a dishonest game - this is a blow to prestige and reputation. Many of these are not ready to sacrifice for the sake of profit. Although, there are exceptions. Many tennis players from countries of Eastern Europe involved in such events, unfortunately, there are also representatives of Russia.
In any case, it is up to you to decide whether to bet on tennis live or not.
Is there a smart live tennis betting strategy?
I have revised many approaches and concepts of the game. These include live tennis betting strategy 40 40, tennis betting strategy for games, tennis betting strategy for games and points. I want to say that almost all of them are unprofitable. Looks good strategy to feed the favorite. Here, in principle, you can make a profit, but slowly and routinely. The main thing to follow is:
- Bet on the serve of the favorite
- Select only matches taking place on hard courts
- Watch the game live and after 2-3 innings start betting
But, again, the coefficients are small, are you ready to bet 5 thousand rubles for the sake of 100-200 rubles? Agree, dubious pleasure. Yes, there is such a category of tennis players who hit aces like a cannon: Isner, Karlovich and a couple more can be found. They very rarely fail serve, but if you bet on their serve and she suddenly refused, it will be very painful. Since it takes a long time to earn profit, and everything is lost in a matter of minutes.
Some also suggest playing this way using financial strategy catch-up - here I am completely categorically against this approach. This is devastating, especially for beginners. Now I will tell you what you should focus on before betting on tennis. This concept was told to me by my foreign partner. I don't know what it's like in action, but I think it's been quite successful since I've seen its results.
In this article, I don’t want to retell everything that the Internet is full of and replete with at every turn: the strategy of betting on live tennis for sets, points and catch-up games. All this is so futile and pointless. Ask 100 cappers who bet on live tennis, are they in plus or minus? 90 of them will tell you: "Damn these tennis players." Perhaps 10 people have found their own approach to the live tennis betting strategy.
